Probably: Personal Forecasts

Turn uncertainty into something you can learn from. Probably is a local-first prediction journal for the questions that matter to you. Make a forecast, update it when life changes, and resolve it when the answer arrives. Over time, your history becomes an honest record of what you believed—not just what you remember believing. MAKE A FORECAST • Ask a yes-or-no question, estimate a number, or choose between possible outcomes. • Record your confidence and set a date for resolution. • Start with 100+ editable ideas across work, health, money, relationships, travel, and more. • Add private notes and tags to keep your journal organized. CHANGE YOUR MIND New evidence is a reason to update, not a mistake. Probably preserves your forecast history, so you can see how your view changed instead of rewriting the past. RESOLVE AND REFLECT Close a prediction when the outcome is known. Explore your…